Sample Size Considerations. Sample size calculations based on various incidence rates in the control arm, relative vaccine efficacies for those in the MVA-NP+M1 arm, and alpha levels (two-sided) are provided in Table 7-1. All calculations assume 80% power and given this is a proof of concept study an alpha of 0.1 is chosen for powering analyses. Based on the projected range of incidence rates in the control arm, a total sample size of approximately 5000 to 6000 participants over two influenza seasons is expected to provide approximately 80% power to detect a meaningful vaccine efficacy (approximately 35%) in the MVA-NP+M1 arm. After the first influenza season, which will enrol approximately 2,200 participants, a sample size recalculation may be performed on the basis of the observed relative vaccine efficacy of MVI-NP+M1 during the first influenza season. This will be described in more detail in the SAP.
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Sources: Principal Investigator Agreement, Principal Investigator Agreement