Theory of Change. The overall development hypothesis supposes that if national institutions adopt an approach to disaster risk management that addresses multiple hazards and encompasses mitigation, preparedness, response, and recovery, while municipal level capacity is built to address disaster risk, Nepal’s resilience to natural disasters will be strengthened and the country will be well positioned for sustainable development. Collaborative learning and adaptive management will be key to the success of Tayar Nepal, given its broad and cross-cutting approach and uncertainty related to new governance structures. Adaptive management refers to making adjustments in intervention tactics or design based on iterative learning, thereby customizing the intervention. As such, establishing implementation decision points/milestones will be necessary during the life of the activity. While Tayar Nepal may need to test an array of approaches, to ensure results, it will need to learn from its experience and quickly hone in on approaches that are getting results, drop those that are not, and adapt where indicated. Such an approach will also require a flexible monitoring system, across intervention components, private sector and public sector actors, and development partners.
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